Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.180883 0.209496 0.241155 0.278784 0.322299 0.371053 0.429843
2025-08-17 0.129760 0.166337 0.211042 0.269712 0.344738 0.437549 0.561247
2025-08-24 0.107972 0.148488 0.201537 0.276113 0.378365 0.513853 0.707421
2025-08-31 0.091550 0.133332 0.191199 0.277239 0.402116 0.577122 0.841748
2025-09-07 0.080184 0.122717 0.184556 0.281079 0.428243 0.644740 0.988606
2025-09-14 0.068942 0.110296 0.173087 0.275446 0.438538 0.689109 1.105001
2025-09-21 0.060670 0.101072 0.164898 0.273153 0.452722 0.739765 1.235748
2025-09-28 0.054839 0.094848 0.160416 0.275790 0.474439 0.803862 1.394703
2025-10-05 0.051911 0.092993 0.162674 0.289580 0.515855 0.904233 1.625600
2025-10-12 0.048580 0.089954 0.162441 0.298814 0.550110 0.995657 1.850959
2025-10-19 0.045332 0.086618 0.161203 0.305916 0.581043 1.084094 2.080491
2025-10-26 0.041811 0.082315 0.157660 0.308203 0.603066 1.158255 2.291239
2025-11-02 0.037844 0.076761 0.151298 0.304655 0.614094 1.214038 2.475399
2025-11-09 0.033608 0.070176 0.142230 0.294766 0.611580 1.243573 2.611430
2025-11-16 0.031676 0.068018 0.141616 0.301763 0.643796 1.345107 2.906093
2025-11-23 0.029371 0.064792 0.138438 0.302993 0.664012 1.424106 3.162191
2025-11-30 0.027575 0.062433 0.136775 0.307190 0.690895 1.519668 3.464842
2025-12-07 0.025087 0.058247 0.130727 0.301033 0.694236 1.564772 3.660129
2025-12-14 0.023146 0.055068 0.126529 0.298527 0.705431 1.628195 3.904356
2025-12-21 0.021783 0.053074 0.124767 0.301410 0.729342 1.722749 4.232355
2025-12-28 0.021355 0.053253 0.128016 0.316483 0.783777 1.893626 4.763579
2026-01-04 0.020611 0.052573 0.129161 0.326577 0.827242 2.043110 5.259509
2026-01-11 0.019768 0.051549 0.129361 0.334340 0.865776 2.184702 5.752021